I write a weekly cash game lineup for DraftKings highlighting the “safest” plays for double-up contests. The results for myself have been great this season, as there has been more winning than losing weeks, and even the losses were narrow defeats so the process is certainly working. There are also tournaments that people like to play where we want lineups to differ from the rest of the people in contests. Below are the main players that I am going to be on this weekend.
Cam Newton $6,400: I get the feeling that people are going to either pay all the way up at QB, or go all the way down to the cheaper options. The mid-range is a good spot to get some leverage, and Cam Newton stands out as a sneaky play. The offense moved pretty well without Kelvin Benjamin as he’s been traded to the Bills. The thing I like the most about Cam is he is running again. He rushed 9 times for 86 yards last week, something he hasn’t done as much prior to week 9. The Dolphins defense hasn’t been able to contain wide receivers of late either, so I am very interested in Newton as my favorite tournament play this week.
Tom Brady $6,700: Brady’s price has dropped due to the on paper matchup at Denver, where the Patriots have had trouble winning historically. The Broncos defense was exposed greatly against the Eagles last week, and it’s hard to think that Brady won’t be able to do the same thing after two weeks to prepare for the game. Chris Hogan is out, but Brady should be able to carve up this defense in the middle of the field with Gronkowski, Amendola and the pass catching running backs. When Brady is this cheap, I’ll take my chances that he can explode and possibly be the best play on the slate.
Jordan Howard $6,100 Howard is low owned every single week, for whatever reason, and is in a great spot against the Packers. The Bears are a home favorite coming off of a bye against a team that really can’t move the ball at all. While nothing is guaranteed, there is a good chance the Bears defense dominates this game and Howard is used heavily to churn the clock out.
Carlos Hyde $6,300 Hyde is another guy that constantly gets overlooked considering his weekly volume. He is literally the only viable offensive weapon for the 49ers, and his receiving ability is starting to shine as of late. The 0-9 49ers are always trailing, so game script has never been on Hyde’s side, but he is still a top 10 running back this season because of his versatility in the passing game. With how bad the Giants have been, I can see a close game here and Hyde exploding in this spot.
Julio Jones $8,000 Jones had a nice game last week catching 6 passes for 118 yards, but also dropped a wide open 40 yard touchdown. If he had caught that ball, I think the public would look at his box score and lock and load him this week against Dallas. Since that didn’t happen, i’m thinking Julio will be sneaky this week against a week Dallas defense at home in a must win game. He is dealing with some sort of leg injury, as always, so keep an eye on his status. The questionable tag could drive his ownership down as well.
Adam Humphries $3,100 This is a price and volume play for me. Jameis Winston and Mike Evans are both going to be out, so there is a good chance Humphries will be the top target for Tampa Bay and Ryan Fitzpatrick. This is a revenge game for Fitzpatrick against the Jets and I can see the game being very high scoring, so $3,100 for a receiver who could get 8-10 catches is very enticing.
Rob Gronkowski $7,000 This is a massive smash spot against a Broncos defense giving up the second-most fantasy points to tight ends. When the Patriots have struggled in the past against Denver, Gronk has usually been either injured during the game, inactive or not at 100%. Coming off of a bye week he should be healthy and well rested. The Broncos corners will do their damage on the outside receivers, but cannot cover over the middle. This is a week to pay up for the big man.
Hunter Henry $3,900 Henry’s up and down usage is pretty odd, but he probably has the most favorable matchup against the Jaguars defense. This is the same strategy play as Gronkowski. The elite Jaguars corners cover very well on the outside, but the middle of the field is where they can be exposed. This is a very risky play because we haven’t seen consistency from Henry, but it makes sense if you are looking for a very low owned tight end that is cheap and brings a lot of upside.